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Debt, Deficit, and the Economy The Shadow Economy  
 World`s Second Largest Economy?

When stock market`s rise and fall on the latest government statistics, some analysts estimate that in 2012 nearly half of the world`s labor force will work in the `shadow economy,` not accounted for by any government statistic.

Many believe that those numbers will grow steadily, as are the money tied to those transactions.

Other terms used to express this same idea are `off-the-books,` `cash` economy, `underground economy,` `black market,` and `System D.` That last term originated in French colonies in Africa and the Caribbean.

In 2009, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) estimated that half the world`s workers or around 1.8 billion people work off the books. Their `jobs` aren`t regulated, taxee, or in official statistics.

Similarly, a 2009 Deutsche Bank study concluded that people in European countries with the largest shadow economies, did better in the `Great Recession` than those with more tightly regulated economies.

While statistics on the world`s `shadow economy` are, by definition, impossible some people estimate that it would be the world`s second largest economy, behind only that of the U.S, with a `GDP` of $10 trillion.

One measure of the `shadow economy` is the amount of U.S. currency held abroad. Again estimates vary, but only 15% of U.S. currency is held by U.S. individuals and businesses, leaving the location of 85% unknown. One estimate puts the amount at around $300 billion.

The U.S. `shadow economy` is estimated by various sources to be somewhere between $1.9 - $2.4 trillion or around 15% of the total economy. If that estimate is roughly correct, it implies that somewhere in the vicinity of $500 billion in taxes is not being paid. If those taxes were collected, the deficit would be cut in half.

European estimates put the `shadow economy` at around 20% for the continent as a whole with places like Italy, Greece, and Bulgaria having `shadow economies` around 30% of their GDP while Switzerland`s is less than 10%.





Floyd Bowling  and  Amusement Center Local News
Coosa Valley News - Person of the Week
Country music has taken center state in towns across America. The reality shows have all featured winners with a `twang` background. Preston Summerville, a Polk County resident, has dreams of his own. Summerville, whose family owns a chicken farm, has set his eyes on the stage in hopes of making his dreams of becoming a country music star a reality of its own. Listen to Preston not only talk about his background and his love for singing and writing his own music, but as he plays a little of his music!
`

  • Floyd Home Sales Up, Prices Down - According to Greater Rome Board of Realtors president Jason Free, 40 single family homes were sold in January, up 9 from the same time last year. For home sellers the bad news is that the average price sold last month was $71,718, where last January it was $119,660.
  • Flea Market Planned for Armuchee - A flea market on the corner of Martha Berry Boulevard and Walenda Drive in Armuchee was approved by the Rome-Floyd County Planning Commission. The property was once the home of a mobile home business.
  • Tellus to Present Paleotology of Georgia Lecture - Tellus Northwest Georgia Science director Jose Santamaria, who has spent more than 20 years collecting and studying Georgia fossils, will present a brief snapshot of life from different periods of Georgia`s past tonight at 7 pm . Although better known for its minerals, geology, and mining history, the state has a very dynamic paleontological history. From trilobites and brachiopods, to dinosaurs and mastodons, all are part of a tale that spans more than half a billion years. All lectures are free for members and included in the cost of museum admission for non-members.
  • Charter School Amendment Passes Committee - The state government would regain the right to approve charter schools in Georgia under a constitutional amendment that cleared a legislative committee Thursday. The Georgia House of Representatives Education Committee voted to ask voters this fall whether to reverse a state Supreme Court ruling last year that overturned a 2008 law giving the state the power to approve charter school applications rejected by local school boards.
  • Smith Retires from State Board of Directors - Lisa Smith, executive director of the Greater Rome Convention & Visitors Bureau, has retired from the board of directors for the Georgia Association of Convention & Visitors Bureaus. She has served on the board since 1999, the longest of any member of the association.
  • Lindale Man Killed by Train in Floyd County - Donald Hicks Jr of Lindale was struck and killed by a train on Wednesday night. Reports say that the incident occured near the railroad crossing at the old Lindale Mill. According to police Hicks Jr. and another male was trying to cross the tracks, the other male made it.
  • 8 Arrested in Gordon County Meth Bust - In the culmination of a 2 month investigation by the Gordon County Sheriff`s Office`s Major Crimes Unit into methamphetamine trafficking, Sheriff Ralston announced the arrest of 7 men and 1 woman for a variety of conspiracy, drug trafficking/distribution, and weapons violations.
  • GNTC`s College Day 2012 a Success - Georgia Northwestern Technical College hosted its Annual College Day on Wednesday. The event provided a great pportunity to showcase and promote GNTC’s programs of study. Last year over 700 Juniors and Seniors from Floyd, Gordon and Polk county visited the school.
  • Gordon Sheriffs Find Hanged Man in Resaca - Gordon County Deputy Sheriff`s found a man dead in his home on Battlefield Parkway this week. Authorities went to the house regarding a probation issue and when deputies forced entry into the residence they found that he had hanged himself. The m ale occupant had apparently been dead for sometime.
Forum Civic Center Our Choices
  • Housing - No Bottom Yet - For those hoping that 2011 would produce a `bottom` in home prices, CoreLogic`s December Home Price Index (HPI®) report didn`t provide any encouragement. Home prices in the U.S. fell 4.7%, making it the fifth straight year of home price declines.
  • Don`t Kick Me Off the Wagon...Please! - Lobbyists are working hard to get industries that lost their tax breaks back on the Washington money wagon. Around 60 special interest tax provisions that are normally renewd each year, expired this year.

    The tax breaks are renewed annually in order to avoid them being `counted` when the Congressional Budget Office does its long term projections. Since they `expire,` the CBO acts as if they don`t count.

    This time they actually expired.

    Click for more.

  • `Green` Initiatives in Trouble - Many of the `green,` alternative energy initiatives that were launched as part of the Obama administration`s stimulus program are in trouble.
  • Study - Stimulus Hurts Private Sector - A new study of government stimulus activities finds that in most cases private spending falls significantly in response to an increase in government spending.
  • Higher Taxes Mean More Evasion - A study by the International Monetary Fund has found (surprise) that higher tax rates produce more tax evasion. Or (for the economists), `Macroeconomic and microeconomic modeling studies based on data for several countries suggest that the major driving forces behind the size and growth of the shadow economy are an increasing burden of tax and social security payments.`
  • Regs to Bar Kids from Farm Work - In his State of the Union address, President Obama pointed to the fact that he had overturned a regulation that treated farm milk spills as `hazardous` incidents.
  • Japan - Population Shrinking by 1 Million per Year - An estimate by Japan`s National Institute of Population and Social Security Research shows the country`s population shrinking by an average of 1 million people per year over the next 50 years.

    While the world`s media focus is on Europe`s problems, Japan is in a much worse fundamental position. To try to fund its pension system the current government says that the country`s sales tax has to be almost quadrupled, from 5% to 17.5%.

    Click for more.

Harbin Clinic Area News
  • Ga. Manufacturing index up 4.9 points in January - Manufacturing activity in Georgia was up 4.9 points in January, with the Georgia PMI edging above 50 as 2012 kicked off, accordingto the Econometric Center at Kennesaw State University’s Coles College of Business. Georgia’s Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), a reading of economic activity in the state’s manufacturing sector, increased 4.9 points in January, to 52.3. A reading above 50 indicates expansion. The PMI has been volatile for the past six months.
  • Georgia Watches Home Prices Drop - Georgia is ranked third for states with the greatest depreciation in home values in January, according to CoreLigic. The Peach State saw its home values drop 8.3 percent. Only Illinois at 11.3 percent and Nevada with 10.6 percent were worse. Also, metro Atlanta’s home prices fell 9 percent last year, ranking second-highest among major metros.
  • GNTC Wants to Move Proposed Catoosa Campus - Georgia Northwestern Technical College announced plans to drop its proposed location for its Catoosa County site. The college now hopes to place the campus near I75 in Ringgold, instead of on a 37 acre plot at Cloud Springs and Dietz Road.
  • Whooping Cranes to Head to Refuge - Nine juvenile whooping cranes on their first ultralight-led migration south will now be taken to Wheeler National Wildlife Refuge in northern Alabama in the next few days. The nine whooping cranes will be loaded up in travel enclosures onto vehicles as soon as possible, driven about 70 miles from Winston County, Ala., to Wheeler National Wildlife Refuge. They will be placed in a secure pen, equipped with identification bands and tracking transmitters, then later released in the company of other whooping cranes that have been wintering there.
  • Enforcement begins for I-85 HOT Lane Fines - Following a 90 day grace period drivers who are caught using the I-85 HOT lanes without a Peach Pass, drivers who use the lane without the pass will get a $25 ticket, plus the cost of the toll, in the mail.
  • Piedmont Man Charged with Rape/Custody Charge - Joseph Daniel Law, 22, of Piedmont,AL has been arrested and charged with one count of second degree rape and one count of interference with custody, both are felonies. Law allegedly had a sexual relationship with a 14 year-old female. The female left her residence, in Ball Play, with the suspect on Saturday.
  • Use of Silencers on Hunting Firearms Passes Senate - The Georgia Senate passed SB 301, which if enacted, would allow the use of a firearm silencer for hunting purposes. The bill passed on a 48-5 vote and was sponsored by Sen. John Bulloch (R-Ochlocknee). `This is a carefully regulated bill that will allow hunters to continue to solve the problem of feral animal overpopulation while reducing the amount of noise associated with a firearm,` said Sen. Bulloch.
  • Toyota Industries creates 320 jobs in Jackson Co - Gov. Nathan Deal announced that Japan-based Toyota Industries Corp. will open a manufacturing plant in Pendergrass in Jackson County, creating 320 jobs. The company’s Georgia operation will be known as Toyota Industries Compressor Parts America, and it represents a $350 million investment. Toyota Industries Corp. expects to begin operations at the TICA plant by late 2013.
  • Atlanta Home Prices - Back to the 90`s - According to the Standard & Poor`s/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, home prices in Atlanta have fallen to late 90`s levels. Nationally, Atlanta is one of only four metros to see prices fall that far.
  • Remains ID`d as Missing Henry County Girl - Remains of a teen that had been missing for almost two years have been identifeid as Tarik Hill, who was reported missing March 6, 2010. The remains were found last November in a wooded area along Ga. 138 in Stockbridge, about 10 miles from Hill`s home. An autopsy, performed at the GBI Crime Lab, identified the remains as Hill`s and ruled her death a homicide, police said Tuesday. The cause of death was not released.
  • Severe Weather Awareness Week - Governor Nathan Deal, in cooperation with the Georgia Emergency Management Agency/Homeland Security, the National Weather Service and Georgia’s local emergency management agencies has proclaimed the week of Feb. 6-10, 2012, as Severe Weather Awareness Week in Georgia. Georgians should take time throughout the week to prepare for unexpected events, practice emergency response procedures for all types of severe weather, and learn more about those threats.
World of Wings News - National  
Kangaroo Jakes News - Entertainment  
Entertainment Guru - Movie Review
I, the Entertainment Guru, thought that the opening minutes of Red Tails set the stage for what you can expect throughout the whole movie.

It`s World War II, a group of American bombers are being escorted through enemy territory and the Germans have arrived to throw a wrench in the works. Planes swarm in a dance of CG aerial acrobatics until the camera focuses in on an American pilot who exclaims, `Germans! Let`s get `em!` thus beginning two-hours of elementary dialogue interspersed with rote plotlines you could have easily predicted before walking in.

Using the heroics of the African American pilots that make up the Tuskegee 332nd Fighter Group to tell this `inspired by a true story`, Red Tails cherry picks and gives these boys a variety of cliched personality traits to keep the story moving forward.

First there`s `Easy` (Nate Parker), the squadron captain. He has a drinking problem you can be sure will get in the way sooner or later. Then there`s `Lightning` (David Oyelowo), a showboat who appears to have a death wish and on top of that he has fallen in love (of course) with a young Italian girl (Daniela Ruah). Then there`s Ray `Junior` Gannon (Tristan Wilds), but he doesn`t like the name `Junior` he wants to be called `Ray Gun` because he`s not a kid and, as we soon learn, he`d rather die than not be up in the air.

Truth be told, none of these characters are all that bad. In fact, I liked most of them and thought the actors did what they could with what they were given to turn them into a likable bunch of guys. Unfortunately, personable performances can`t save a shoddy script, laced with moments you knew were coming before they got there as Red Tails takes the easy way out in any and all circumstances with screen dialogue that wouldn`t even make most first drafts.

The Tuskegee fighter group became well known as bomber escorts and on their first mission one of the bomber pilots looks out his window and sees a black man flying one of the escort planes. He promptly gets on the radio and says something to the effect of, `It`s a colored pilot, don`t look for any support this time guys.` Each and every line of dialogue is this bone dry when it comes to thought and/or emotion. Trouble is, that`s just the kind of movie you`re looking at.

This isn`t an attempt at an epic piece of war history, it`s a PG-13 movie meant to occupy a two-hour void. Looking for nuance and plot development is a waste. Instead of attempting to actually develop and break down race relations, Red Tails screenwriters John Ridley and Aaron McGruder spend time getting `Lightning a girlfriend and performing a surface level exploration of `Easy`s` drinking problem. Considering the way the story is told they have no choice but to dumb down the race aspect into cliched barroom brawls and snide remarks.

I don`t have much of a problem with this film, but I would never recognize it as quality cinema. It`s glossy and cheesy, but I never got the impression it wanted to be anything more than that. It`s passable in those terms and the fighting scenes aren`t half-bad, at least when the actors don`t have to recite their first grade dialogue while cheesing for the camera as if they`re in a carnival photo booth.

5 out of 10 popcorns.

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Chick-Fli-A\ Local Sports
In the Mind of - Tony Potts
I`m just going to go ahead and admit it. I was in a crappy mood all day yesterday....

Because of the dang 18 year-old kid, Josh Harvey-Clemons` granddad not signing his LOI papers really put me in a bad mood, and I still don`t know why. After reading Mark Miller`s column this week I didn`t want to be one of `them`. But, sadly I was.

The first thing I did when I woke up was to turn ESPNU on to see the press conference. I watched it, I mean listened to it all day at work. To make matters worse, the first thing that I did Thursday morning was to grab my cell phone, jump on twitter and see if his LOI was signed by his grandpops.

My wife didn`t find this amusing considering it was her day off and she wanted to cuddle before the day.

Heck, there`s always time for cuddling. Here was the state`s number 1 prospect which could have a say-so on the next four years of our marriage! We`ve only been married for less than two years, but she has GOT to know where the important stuff is.

Speaking of number 1 recruit in the state, despite the low ranking class, UGA managed to get the number 1 state prospect in four states this year. Georgia`s Josh Harvey-Clemons or even Jordan Jenkins according to 247sports and Scout, North Carolina`s Keith Marshall, Sheldon Dawson from Tennessee and John Theus from Florida.

I would have liked to have had O-lineman Avery Young, but he choose Auburn. Dang him.

For the most part I`m happy. This class didn`t have the sparkle as last year, but this team`s needs are different. You have to remember a lot of these kids probably won`t play due to the returning starters, minus the 0-line and running backs. With the left over scholarships, this could lead to a very bright future for the Dawgs over the next few years.

So football officially ends this Sunday night with New England and New York. New York vs Boston. The Rematch. It should be an exciting game to watch, but as much as I love going over to Mark Miller`s house for his great company (and awesome food), I always hate to see this game come around. It is a sad ending to the greatest sport for the season.

Only talks of trades and free agents to get us by the long hot summer. Baseball is ok, but it gets old the 2nd week of April.

But then again, the gates of Sanford Stadium opens on April 14th for the annual G-Day game!

One more thing, Patriots over the Giants by 9.

God bless football! GO DAWGS!

Tony Potts

Email me: Tony@CoosaValleyNews.com

Umt

  • Point U. Stuns Shorter in East Point - Jeremy Mehaffey knocked down two free throws with 3.4 seconds left and Shorter`s Walter Hill came up empty on a last second attempt as Point University shocked previously unbeaten and No. 1-ranked Shorter 73-72 on Thursday night in East Point. The Skyhawks (9-17) avenged a 99-80 loss to the Hawks in Rome in November and took down the NAIA`s last undefeated team. Shorter falls to 22-1 overall as its school-record 22-game win streak came to a heartbreaking end.
  • Georgia Players Dismissed for Team Rules - Three memebers of Georgia`s Dream Team got kicked off the team on Friday. UGA football coach Mark Richt announced that defensive back Nick Marshall, wide receiver Sanford Seay and defensive back Chris Sanders have been dismissed from the team.
  • Another Atlanta Collapse - Just when you think Atlanta has got its stuff together, the Hawks get blown out. This time it was at home by the Memphis Grizzlies. Memphis had not won a game in Atlanta in six years, Thursday they won easily 96-77.
  • Leprechaun-a-thon 5K & 2 Mile Health Walk - The Rome-Floyd Parks and Recreation Authority is registering for the first annual Leprechaun-a-thon 5K and 2 Mile Health Walk to be held on Saint Patrick’s Day, Saturday, March 17, 2012. The 5K race is USATF Certified and will be chip timed by the presenting sponsor, Harbin Clinic Sports Health Foundation. The race/walk will start outside Barron Stadium and wind through historic downtown Rome and along Heritage Park trail. Participants will finish with a victory lap inside Barron Stadium where the finish line will be broadcast on the scoreboard big screen.
  • College Scores -
    • Georgia Tech 54 - Florida State 68
    • Georgia 51 - Auburn 59
  • Gordon County Players Ink College Scholarships - Gordon County had its share of college football signees on Wednesday. Calhoun had nine sign, Gordon Central had two and Sonoraville had 1.
    • Adam Griffith - Calhoun - K(University of Alabama) -
    • Alex Kirby - Calhoun - LB (UT-Chattanooga)
    • Trent Frix - Calhoun - LB,LS (Air Force)
    • Reed Allen, - Calhoun - DE (Air Force).
    • Ben Lamb, - Calhoun - WR (West Georgia)
    • Hunter Knight, - Calhoun - LB (West Georgia)
    • Chase Rierson, - Calhoun - LB (West Georgia)
    • Gabe Freeman, - Calhoun - LB (West Georgia)
    • Tyler King, - Calhoun - OL (West Georgia)
    • CJ Bell - Gordon Central - RB - (Tusculum College)
    • Matthew Chastain - Gordon Central - OL (Mercer)
    • Noah Henson - OL - Sonoraville - (Shorter)
  • Darlington Player to Play at West Georgia - Darlington High School senior Gavin Lawrence (OL,DL), signed his letter of intent to play college football on Wednesday at the Univeristy of West Georgia.
  • Pepperell`s Dakota Ball signs with Alabama - Dakota Ball, a senior defensive lineman for Pepperell High School, made it official Wednesday that his college of choice is the University of Alabama. Ball signed his letter of intent in the Pepperell High media center surrounded by family, friends, Dragon fans and Crimson Tide supporters. Ball was the thirteenth high school athlete to sign with the University of Alabama.
  • Shorter`s Hill Picks Up National Honor - Walter Hill of Shorter University has been named the NAIA National Division I Men’s Basketball Player of the Week. Hill was selected based on his performances from Jan. 23 - Jan. 29 and was chosen out of a pool of c onference/independent/unaffiliated groupings. The national honor is the first of Hill`s career and comes on the heels of his Southern States Athletic Conference Player of the Week selection.
  • Berry Cages Hawks To Earn Second Straight Win - Mac Whalen led five Berry players in double figures with 22 points and 13 rebounds as the Vikings held on for an 83-80 victory over visiting Huntingdon Tuesday evening at the Cage Center.
  • Trion Names New Head Football Coach - Trion High School has named Justin Brown as the new head football coach. Brown replaces David Humphreys who resigned in November.
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